33% is a great starting point


[This article originally appeared on our Facebook page]

THE latest YouGov poll should give all supporters of Welsh Independence huge cause for cheer.

The poll, held between May 29 and June 1st shows a number of different results when various political scenarios in Wales are outlined to those questioned.

But the most important question was held until last, when people were asked to make a definitive choice between the two opposite ends of the spectrum, Independence or Abolition of Devolution entirely.

That’s the question that gets to the very essence of things in truth, and shows where people really stand on the issue.

Here, 33% chose Independence, 45% chose abolition, with 22% in the don’t know category.

33% is the highest figure ever recorded in support of Welsh Independence.

It can only be described as a fantastic launching pad for any Independence referendum which could be held here over the next few years.

To put this in context, it should be remembered that the Scottish YES percentage at the start of their Independence Referendum campaign in 2014 was 25%. Which ended up at 45% on the day of the vote.

So, in one sense, Wales (according to this poll) is ahead of where Scotland was in 2014.

The 45% for abolition of devolution can’t be ignored of course, and it’s a troubling one on many levels.

Perhaps it’s as well to recognise that this monolith block for unionism will be very hard to break down come a referendum.

The main focus of a successful Indy Campaign therefore has to be on those 22% don’t knows.

Convincing that section of the population could take an Indy campaign to 55% (the internationally recognised threshold for national independence).

No doubt the chaos and carnage in England concerning the handling of the corona virus has played a big part in this new support for Independence.

The Welsh Government haven’t handled things brilliantly by any means, but there is however more calm competence on display here by now, compared to what passes for governance in Westminster.

It’s odd in a way that it’s the glaring failures of the centralized state, rather than the successes of devolution that has opened the door for Welsh Independence.

But more often than not, that has been the case for a host of liberated nations in Europe since the second world war.

With external crises within the existing structures providing new opportunities for subjugated peoples.

Wales are just following in a long line of other nations which have availed themselves of this truth.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.